Bernard Baumohl
Award-winning economist and top-ranked forecaster translating global economic trends into actionable insights.
Award-winning economist and top-ranked forecaster translating global economic trends into actionable insights.
Bernard Baumohl is one of the most respected economic forecasters and keynote speakers on the global economy, financial markets and geopolitical trends. As Chief Global Economist at The Economic Outlook Group, he is widely recognized for accurately identifying turning points in the U.S. and world economy before they become obvious to the broader market. Ranked twice by The Wall Street Journal as the top economic forecaster in major national surveys, Bernie combines deep economic expertise with an engaging speaking style that makes even the most complex issues easy to understand. His presentations deliver clear analysis, practical insights and a forward-looking perspective that helps organizations prepare for what lies ahead.
Bernard Baumohl is an internationally recognized economist, bestselling author and keynote speaker specializing in the global economy, financial markets and geopolitical developments. As Chief Global Economist at The Economic Outlook Group, he advises business leaders, investors and organizations on the forces shaping economic growth, inflation, interest rates and global risk.
Known for being consistently ahead of the curve, Bernie has built a reputation for identifying major economic turning points before they become widely recognized. His forecasting ability earned national recognition from The Wall Street Journal, which ranked him as the top economic forecaster in major national surveys in both 2019 and 2025.
Organizations booking Bernard Baumohl gain access to sharp economic analysis combined with practical insights that help leaders make more informed strategic decisions in uncertain times.
Bernie began his professional career as an analyst with the Council on Foreign Relations, where he focused on international affairs and national security. He later became an economist at European American Bank, monitoring the global economy and developing economic forecasts for the institution.
He also spent years as an award-winning economics reporter with TIME magazine, covering the White House, the Federal Reserve and Wall Street. This experience sharpened his ability to explain complicated economic developments in clear, engaging language — a quality that continues to define his keynote presentations today.
His unique background across economics, policy, journalism and forecasting gives audiences a broader perspective on how political events, financial markets and global trends interact.
Bernie holds an M.A. in International Affairs and Economics from Columbia University and is a member of both the National Association for Business Economics and the American Economic Association.
Bernard Baumohl is widely sought after as a keynote speaker because of his ability to translate highly complex economic and geopolitical developments into presentations that are informative, practical and easy to follow.
He regularly speaks at:
His presentations combine data-driven analysis with real-world business implications, helping audiences better understand what economic trends mean for their organizations, industries and future strategies.
Bernie is also known for tailoring his keynotes to specific industries and current market conditions, ensuring each presentation feels highly relevant to the audience.
In addition to keynote speaking, he conducts seminars focused on forward-looking economic indicators and how organizations can use them to anticipate economic turning points before competitors do.
Bernard Baumohl’s economic forecasts and geopolitical analysis are regularly featured in leading international media outlets. His insights have appeared in The New York Times, Washington Post, Financial Times, Business Week and on National Public Radio.
He is also a member of the Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Panel, where his projections contribute to broader national economic surveys and discussions.
Throughout his career, Bernie has been a frequent commentator across television, radio and business media, including Public TV’s Nightly Business Report. In 2023, he became the subject of a major business magazine cover story highlighting his economic and geopolitical insights.
His reputation is built not only on accuracy, but also on his ability to explain why economic shifts are happening and what business leaders should watch next.
Bernard Baumohl is also the author of the widely acclaimed book The Secrets of Economic Indicators: Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opportunities published by Pearson Education.
Now in its third edition, the book has become a trusted resource for investors, executives, analysts and students seeking to better understand the economic indicators that drive markets and business cycles. The publication has been translated into several languages, including Chinese, Japanese, Russian and German.
The success of the book further established Bernie as one of the leading voices in economic forecasting and market analysis.
Bernard Baumohl speaks on a wide range of topics related to the economy, business strategy and geopolitical risk, including:
Bernie’s presentations equip audiences with a clearer understanding of the forces shaping the economy and practical perspectives on how to navigate the future with greater confidence.
Keynote by Bernard Baumohl:
Bernie lays out the opportunities and risks ahead for the U.S. and international economy. It is a topic of tremendous urgency these days because the entire economic and geopolitical order is undergoing profound changes! The Covid pandemic, wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, increased tensions with China have re-wired global trade and transformed the entire business landscape. Adding more complexity is the new leadership in Washington and policies that will impact the path of interest rates, inflation, employment, trade patterns, and both consumer and corporate demand.
Keynote by Bernard Baumohl:
We have entered a new era for the global economy. Geopolitical conflicts, cyber attacks, trade wars, declining birth rates, more destructive natural disasters, and greater reliance on artificial intelligence are fundamentally changing the world order. And it is all happening at a dizzying pace. Indeed, rarely in history has the outlook for the economy been more challenging. Yet corporate leaders, investors and government policymakers have to make decisions every day---and be able to justify them! But how do you manage a company, allocate capital and make public policy in a world that is increasingly buffeted by economic, political and military shocks?