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Mastering Global Risks

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Daniel Wagner

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With a legacy at the World Bank Group and the Asian Development Bank, Daniel Wagner's keynote promises to equip your organization with cutting-edge risk management strategies.

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5 out of 5 stars

Cybersecurity is a risk management issue, not just a technology problem. Daniel superbly sets the table for individuals to effectively identify and assess the risk associated with today's evolving cyber threat landscape.

Gregory J. Touhill, Brigadier General, USAF (ret) and former U.S. Chief Information Security Officer See all references

Reasons to book Daniel Wagner

  • Global Influence: Daniel, a prolific author and sought-after speaker, shapes the dialogue on international relations and risk management.
  • Prolific Author: Daniel Wagner’s ten books and 700+ articles showcase his authority, offering unparalleled depth and breadth in risk management.”
  • Master’s Credentials: Daniel’s academic excellence, including degrees from the University of Chicago, Thunderbird, and Richmond University, underscores his mastery in international relations and management.
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Unlock success with Daniel Wagner, esteemed CEO of Country Risk Solutions. With 30+ years navigating cross-border risk for industry giants like AIG and the World Bank, Daniel is your go-to authority on political risk insurance. As a prolific author, he imparts strategic wisdom through ten groundbreaking books and over 700 articles. Tailoring his expertise to your needs, Daniel speaks eloquently on international relations, China, polycrisis management, and decisive cross-border risk strategies. Elevate your event with Daniel Wagner - where unparalleled experience meets insightful expertise.

Reasons to book Daniel Wagner

  • Global Influence: Daniel, a prolific author and sought-after speaker, shapes the dialogue on international relations and risk management.
  • Prolific Author: Daniel Wagner’s ten books and 700+ articles showcase his authority, offering unparalleled depth and breadth in risk management.”
  • Master’s Credentials: Daniel’s academic excellence, including degrees from the University of Chicago, Thunderbird, and Richmond University, underscores his mastery in international relations and management.

Imagine having a GPS for risk management, with Daniel Wagner as your strategic navigator. With over three decades of unparalleled experience assessing cross-border risk, Daniel is not just a motivational speaker – he’s your compass through the intricate web of political risk insurance and analysis. His insights, honed at esteemed organizations like AIG, GE, and the World Bank, resonate with the challenges your organization encounters daily.

Book Daniel Wagner for your event, and witness the transformation of theoretical knowledge into actionable strategies. Daniel’s motivational talks are not just about inspiring your team; they’re about providing tangible tools for decision-making in the polycrisis era. His expertise extends beyond rhetoric, delving into the practicalities of managing country risk and embracing global risk agility.

Daniel Wagner is not just a name; he’s a brand synonymous with success in navigating international relations, China, and cross-border risk management. His impact reaches far beyond the stage, evident in his role as Adaptation Finance Lead for COP28 and Senior Investment Officer at the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.

In the realm of risk management, Daniel Wagner is not just a speaker; he’s a strategic partner. When you book Daniel Wagner for your event, you’re not only securing a keynote; you’re gaining access to a wealth of knowledge encapsulated in ten insightful books and over 700 articles. His contributions to prestigious publications like the South China Morning Post and the Sunday Guardian attest to his authority.

As you stand at the intersection of challenges and opportunities, consider Daniel Wagner your guide through uncharted territories. Book Daniel Wagner for your event, and empower your organization with the tools, insights, and resilience needed to thrive in the face of uncertainty. In the business world’s intricate maze, Daniel Wagner is the key to unlocking success.

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Keynote by speaker Daniel Wagner

Deciphering the Conflict Between America and China

Governments, businesses, and individuals are being forced to make a choice: lean in the direction of the eagle and pursue a free, democratic, and market-oriented economic and political system, or lean in the direction of the panda, toward that of an authoritarian form of government and state-dominated economic system. It is, ultimately, a confrontation that will determine our collective future and the stakes are extremely high.

For some nations, businesses, and consumers, the choice is easy and obvious; for others, it is a real dilemma. Daniel’s book and keynote explores:

  • Many of the dynamics at play in arriving at that decision, including the impact China and the US have on global politics, economics, technology, military power, geostrategic influence, and the environment.
  • The rules governing geopolitics, supply chains, military strategy and capabilities, and a host of other variables that define how the world functions are in the process of being rewritten by these two great powers.

Wagner has written an important and fascinating exploration of the divisive landscape that is already in the process of defining the 21st century.

Keynote by speaker Daniel Wagner

China’s Creation of an Alternative Global Order

In this keynote, Daniel examines why the Chinese government acts as it does on the international stage and the impacts it has had, and will have, on countries around the world in the future.

This keynote explores:

  • How and why China has approached foreign policy as it has.
  • The impact this has had on countries around the world, and what the rest of the world can expect from China once it becomes the worlds largest economy.
  • Its strongest political power, and continues to develop its already advanced technological prowess.

There is good reason why China is on the precipice of global supremacy-it has used the existing global framework to its own distinct advantage, and yet, it would like to modify that framework to ensure that its comparative advantage continues well into the future.

Understanding the Chinese governments motivations and actions will be more important than ever going forward. Daniel’s book and keynote is broad in scope and includes chapters on the global economy, Asia and the South China Sea, the US, the Middle East, cyber warfare, and AI.

Keynote by speaker Daniel Wagner

Winning in the Era of Machine Learning (the Silent Race to Achieve AI Supremacy)

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is having a profound impact on individuals, businesses, and governments, but what is required to get ahead and stay ahead of the AI curve is not well understood.

AI Supremacy is a comprehensive guide to AIs impact on a societal and global level, and provides a vision for how AI and machine learning will likely influence the way business is done, societies function, and governments interact in the future.

Daniel has crafted an insightful, entertaining, and unique keynote that:

  • Takes readers on a wild ride through the canyons and valleys of AI to examine many of its most important sub-topics. From globalization to jobs, financial services to the role of governments, the nexus with cyber risk to spying.
  • China’s AI quest to AI’s impact on international relations, he delves deeply into the subject matter.
  • The race for AI supremacy is about more than establishing a competitive position in the global marketplace for innovative applications and technological prowess – it is about anticipation, strong mindset, resources, and more.

While few organizations and governments have achieved the right mix to lead in the race for AI supremacy, those that have already possess a substantial lead. Those that have not are simply falling further and further behind.

Can those that are not already in the race, get in the race with any realistic hope of catching up? Can those who are already in the race ever catch up with the leaders? Who will win in the end? Should AI be feared or embraced? These are among the many questions Wagner explores.

Keynote by speaker Daniel Wagner

The Rise of Virtual Terrorism: 21st Century Cyber Warfare

Anyone who logs on to the Internet can become a victim of Virtual Terrorism, whether via e- mail, social media, a Google search, or simply by logging on to a computer. Anyone seeking to do harm to others online can be a virtual terrorist, and it is incredibly easy to become one.

Unlike more conventional types of terrorism, in which the perpetrator seeks recognition and reveals his or her identity, with Virtual Terrorism the identity of the person, group or government responsible for acts of terror is deliberately hidden in an anonymous, borderless, and lawless world.

Daniel’s audience takeaway include:

  • Wagner takes us on a comprehensive tour of the Virtual Terrorism landscape — from cybercrime and bioterrorism to drones and artificial intelligence — to reveal the chilling reality that confronts us all.
  • After hearing Wagner speak, you may not ever want to log on to your smartphone or the Internet again. His message is a clarion call for individuals, businesses, and governments to rise up against virtual terrorists, for if we fail to do so now, the battle may soon be lost.
Keynote by speaker Daniel Wagner

Achieving Global Risk Agility

Set against the era of man-made risk, where transnational terrorism, cyber risk, and climate change are making traditional risk models increasingly obsolete, he argues that remaining passively on the side-lines of the global economy is dangerous, and that understanding and actively engaging the world is central to achieving risk agility. Wagners definition of risk agility taps into the survival and risk-taking instincts of the entrepreneur while establishing an organizational imperative focused on collective survival.

Audience takeaways include:

  • The audience is offered deep insights into specific risk domains that are shaping our world, including terrorism, cyber risk, climate change, and economic resource nationalism, as well as a frame of reference from which to think about risk management and decision making in our increasingly complicated world.
  • Wagner sheds new light on the often-complex discipline of risk management.
  • Participants will learn how risk management is being transformed from a business prevention function to a values-based framework for thriving in increasingly perilous times.
  • Tackling governance structures and the tone at the top to advocating for greater transparency and adherence to value systems, this keynote will establish a new generation of risk leader, with clarion voices calling for greater risk agility.

The rise of agile decision makers coincides with greater resilience and responsiveness in the era of man-made risk.

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Global Risk Agility: Daniel Wagner

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References

Cybersecurity is a risk management issue, not just a technology problem. Daniel superbly sets the table for individuals to effectively identify and assess the risk associated with today's evolving cyber threat landscape.

Gregory J. Touhill

Brigadier General, USAF (ret) and former U.S. Chief Information Security Officer

Daniel is regarded as one of the world's leading political risk management experts. He is erudite and revels in contemporary history and socio-economic and political events. I always found him to be prescient in his political prognostications.

James Matti

Managing Director, Towers Watson Philippines

Daniel is a results-oriented individual with a strong sense of loyalty. He is well respected by his peers in MIGA and the political risk insurance industry. Daniel is articulate and at ease in any setting. He met with heads of state and senior officials of corporations in carrying out his daily activities. Daniel handled delicate matters involving non-governmental organizations with interests in the environmental aspects of some of the Agency's projects. His written reports are excellent. Given the opportunity, I would hire Daniel once again.

Christophe Bellinger

Chief Guarantee Officer, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, The World Bank Group

I have worked with Daniel in a number of different capacities. He is able to develop and execute a business plan in a fluid environment. He has good credit judgment and sound underwriting skills. Daniel is very knowledgeable about Asia and has established a good reputation in the region and elsewhere. He is easy to work with.

John Hegeman

Senior Vice President, AIG Trade and Political Risk Division

The Islamic State and Virtual Jihad

Cyberspace is the ideal platform for terrorists because, unlike conventional warfare, barriers to entry into cyberspace are much lower—the price of entry is an Internet connection. The surreptitious use of the Internet to advance terrorist group objectives has created a new brand of Holy War – “Virtual Jihad” – which gains thousands of new adherents each day. For terrorist organizations, a clear benefit of cyberspace is its ability to readily radicalize individuals from a distance and at any time, utilizing the Internet and superior social media intelligence to gain attention and remain relevant globally.

Cyberspace offers potential jihadists the opportunity to receive instruction and training on topics ranging from data mining to psychological warfare. The use of the Dark Web and encryption programs allow terrorist groups to effectively communicate in secret. Although terrorist organizations have been adept at utilizing the Internet to spread propaganda and provide instructions for attacks, their ability to launch offensive attacks via computer networks had previously been limited. Cyberattacks attributed to terrorists have largely consisted of unsophisticated tactics such as e-mail bombings of ideological foes, DDoS attacks, or defacing of websites. Even when such attacks have been successfully deployed, the damage inflicted has been limited, largely because global intelligence agencies actively monitor their websites, conduct analyses to determine potential terrorist plots, and render some of the domains inaccessible to the public. That has now changed.

A Virtual Caliphate

Long after the current collection of terrorist groups have ceased to be a major threat from a physical perspective, they will remain omnipresent in cyberspace, promoting a virtual caliphate from their safe haven behind computer keyboards around the world. Islamic extremists are natural candidates to transition to the virtual world because it offers them automatic citizenship beyond the nation-state. Decades of violent conflict, border disputes, and shifting refugee populations have left millions of Muslims without a clear national identity – a virtual caliphate offers refuge, free from terrestrial constraints, which can be accessed from anywhere in the world.

Since the Islamic State (IS) was founded, its leaders have deftly and continually rewritten the narrative by which they could claim that the group’s desired caliphate exists, where it is located, and who its adherents are. Unconstrained by the absence of a definitive Quranic guideline for what constitutes a caliphate, the IS created its own self-promoting doctrine. The group expanded its caliphate narrative to include a wide range of options for participation: membership included everyone from the passive observer reading a blog or curiously following a Twitter feed, to the keyboard jihadist editing Rumiyah or hacking a website, to the real-world operators attacking a nightclub or running down holiday celebrants with a delivery truck. The IS has successfully exploited the sociopolitical environment and young adults’ obsession with technology to establish a growing community of devotees in the ungoverned territory of cyberspace, ensuring its ability to continue to coordinate and inspire violence well into the future.

This notion of a virtual caliphate clashes with traditional notions of statehood and governance, but it is not the first attempt that has been made to create a virtual state. In 2014, Estonia took the unprecedented step of offering any person in the world a chance to become an Estonian ‘e-resident’, in an attempt to create a ‘digital nation’ for global citizens by offering to provide government-issued digital identification to anyone in the world, and enable non-Estonians access to Estonian services such as company formation, banking, payment processing, and taxation. Doing so would allow Estonia to continue operating as a state even if its physical territory were ever seized. By harnessing the millions of people who form its social network, the IS expanded its community of e-citizens to promulgate its radical ideology and direct attacks across the globe well before the collapse of its physical caliphate.

The IS has also capitalized on the world’s evolving propensity to integrate online activities with real world activities. Social media has had an incredible multiplying effect on radical messaging, and the IS has had great success publishing online, which has resonated particularly well with disenfranchised Muslims and youths, inspiring some to act on inspiration and guidance received online. The IS has exploited their search for meaningful identity by promising to restore their dignity and might so that they may find personal fulfillment and purpose.

The virtual world is in some ways more compelling than the real world, because storylines can be artfully crafted to be maximally appealing, while omitting anything that may be perceived of as negative. A promise is much easier to make online, as is the vision of fulfilling aspirations. The IS has created virtual messaging that is wildly at odds with the reality of life as an IS fighter on the ground. Cyberspace has enabled the IS to turn tactical defeats on the battlefield into glorious martyrdom operations that highlight the bravery and commitment of its fighters. The loss of territory and the deaths of key leaders have served to feed propaganda efforts that are used to prove the resiliency of the caliphate.

In the face of the force-multiplying impact of the IS’s adaptive narrative, even concerted efforts by Muslim clerics have largely failed to undermine IS’s caliphate narrative. While the vast majority of the world’s estimated 1.6 billion Muslims are not IS supporters (perhaps just a fraction of one percent, although no one can say for certain), the group’s ability to engage virtually with large swaths of this population drives varying degrees of participation in the virtual caliphate, including non-supporters, passive observers, benign fans, “keyboard jihadists”, and real-world actors. This diverse range of participants helps to ensure that the notion of a virtual caliphate will endure long after the current crop of IS leaders are gone. The IS has found its own salvation via the Internet, particularly since it has already passed the peak of its real-world power.

*Daniel Wagner is the founder of Country Risk Solutions, managing director of Risk Cooperative, and author of the new book “Virtual Terror”. Giuseppe Del Vecchio is a research analyst with CRS.

 

11.07.2017

Interview with Daniel Wagner

Why is it important for people to better understand the threat that cyber terrorism  represents, and why should we be worried about it?
The nature of terrorism has changed. It is not longer simply a group wanting to promote its political objectives and blowing something up. Today, it is about stealing information, interfering in people’s lives, and creating a climate of fear. Terrorism is now also generated online, in a lawless world where there are no boundaries. That is why it is everyone’s problem, and why we should be worried about it.

You’re an expert in achieving global risk agility for businesses, do the same ideas ever apply to risk taking in everyday life?
Risk agility is all about anticipating risks – both seen and unseen – and crafting an approach to addressing risk in a proactive, deliberate, consistent, and sustainable manner. Such an approach translates into our personal lives, especially when you consider that such phenomena as climate change, cyber risk, and terrorism loom in the background and impact all of us, whether we realize it or not.

What is political risk insurance, and how can it make conducting business internationally less risky?
PRI is all about removing non-commercial risk from commercial transactions by transferring such risk to insurers. Examples includes the risks of expropriation, currency convertibility, political violence, and breach of contract. Most businesses do not realize that such insurance is available for trade, investment and lending transactions all over the world. Taking out PRI makes capital acquisition less costly and more readily available, as well as making the risks of doing business globally significantly lower.

What makes your keynote presentations unique?
With three decades of experience in the private and public sectors, I not only have a wealth of experience to share, but a lot of stories to tell. Audiences have told me they particularly enjoy those stories. My presentation style is relaxed and engaging, in no small part due to how interesting the topics I speak about are. Whether it is cyber risk, country risk, or achieving risk agility, I drive home their applicability in today’s world.

Do you have a favorite speaking engagement that stands out from your career?
I have traveled all over the world and made presentations in dozens of countries. The most noteworthy presentations have tended to be in some of the more exotic locations I have visited. Among the most interesting and memorable was when I spoke to a group of tribal chiefs in Papua New Guinea. I have had the great privilege of having met some fascinating people in my career, and I always enjoy presenting to unique groups of people in unusual places.

See keynotes with Daniel Wagner
Non-binding request for Daniel Wagner

Send a simple request. You’ll get a quick reply with fees and availability

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Daniel Wagner
Daniel Wagner

5 out of 5 stars

Cybersecurity is a risk management issue, not just a technology problem. Daniel superbly sets the table for individuals to effectively identify and assess the risk associated with today's evolving cyber threat landscape.

Gregory J. Touhill, Brigadier General, USAF (ret) and former U.S. Chief Information Security Officer See all references

Keynote topics with Daniel Wagner